Research: Josh Altic Vojsava Ramaj The original filing deadline was set for March 11, 2022. U.S. SENATE CANDIDATES: A Comprehensive Directory of the 2024 US Senate Candidates. "[20] Murkowski also highlighted her support for energy development in the state and said her vote for the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act had already brought billions to Alaska. However, he has now joined One Nation, announcing this morning he will run for the party inthe Senate in Queensland. [18][19], Murkowski highlighted her seniority and said her willingness to work with Democrats helped steer federal funding to Alaska. Time's Philip Elliott wrote, "The match-up [between Cortez Masto and] Republican Adam Laxalt is seen as a two-point race at bestand one that could decide if the Democrats hold their narrow majority in the Senate."[51]. So based solely on that, Democrats would be winning back seats in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, but when it's not a presidential cycle, that's not always the case either.[98]. That U.S. Senate seat was also up for regular election in 2022. This was the first time since 1914 that no Senate incumbent who ran lost re-election.[6]. Johnson won re-election in 2016 in a rematch with Feingold, 50% to 47%. These results are unusual for a midterm election: Coming into the 2022 election, the presidents party had lost Senate seats in 13 of the last 19 midterm elections, with an average loss of roughly five seats. The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Nevada were similarly close. State by state, those numbers come through in news networks exit polling (which provides an incomplete but early look at how an electorate behaved during an election) and other post-election surveys. It really does come down to the swing voters. At the 2019 election, Mr Christensen recorded a massive 11.3 per cent swing toward him in Dawson something Coalition members put down to his personal brand in North Queensland. Weve even made some changes to our forecast model to reflect this. Laxalt is the grandson of former Nevada governor and U.S. Authorised by D.Huxham, Pauline Hansons One Nation, 2/6-12 Boronia Rd Brisbane Airport QLD 4008. "[85] Roll Call's Niels Lesniewski wrote, "Keeping the seat in Republican hands is an important part of the party's effort to flip control of the 50-50 Senate."[86]. Hillary Clinton (D) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 2.4 percentage points. [71][72] Beasley said she was running to "fight to lower costs, create good-paying jobs and expand access to affordable, quality health care in every part of North Carolina."[73]. This article displays an image of an official 2022 sample ballot from California. [47] Busch Valentine said she wanted to fight the opioid epidemic, improve access to quality healthcare, and advocate for women's rights. Trump won the state over Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016 by 1.2 percentage points. These results suggest that Republicans have a slight edge in the 2022 Senate elections when it comes to potential seat swing based on the fundamentals in these races. Republicans are retiring in Missouri, Ohio, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. Burr and Toomey did not seek re-election. Incumbent President Donald Trump (R) won the state over Joe Biden (D) by 3.3 percentage points in 2020. Of those, Democrats won 15 seats and Republicans won 20 seats. The filing deadline was March 11, 2022. Election denying candidates, and candidates aligned with Donald Trump, might have actually turned independents off from other Republican candidates on the ticket. Hassan said she worked with Republicans to end surprise medical billing and expand broadband access. Lisa Murkowski, Alaska He won't win a seat but defeat will entitle him . [67] In Hassan's first Senate bid in 2016, she spent $19 million to incumbent Sen. Kelly Ayotte's (R) $16 million.[68]. The Economist's model is even more optimistic for the party, finding that in 78 out of 100 simulations, Democrats retain their majority in November. Seats that changed party hands in previous election cycles, Presidential election results in 2022 Senate states, States with senators from different parties, Media analysis of 2022 U.S. Senate elections, Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report, 2020. -webkit-columns: 3; In the end, the 2020 Biden coalition not only held in enough key places, but some Democrats, including John Fetterman in Pennsylvania and Sen. Mark Kelly in Arizona, overperformed Biden.[98]. That included strong independent support in the swing Washoe County, which Cortez Masto won in this contest (she lost it during her first election in 2016). Special elections to United States Senate are often required in the event of vacancies. Incumbent U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson (R) defeated Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes (D) and write-in candidate Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) in the general election on November 8, 2022, to represent Wisconsin in the U.S. Senate. The largest MOV was in Hawaii, where Brian Schatz (D) defeated Bob McDermott (R) by a margin of 52.17 percentage points. In the 2016 election, Trump carried Wisconsin with 47.2% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 46.5%. Look back at how the 2022 Australian federal election unfolded. So theres a good chance that states will be at least a bit redder in 2022 than they were in 2020. "It has come as no surprise tomany people that for a long whileIhave diverged with the views of the government most notably around theissue of vaccine mandates," Mr Christensen said. [74], J.D. In an unusual midterm twist, those who "somewhat disapproved" of President Biden nonetheless mostly broke in favor his party. In 2020, 40 incumbent members of Congress36 representatives and four senatorsdidn't seek re-election. columns: 1; He believes in participatory government and strongly backs our policy to have citizen-initiated referenda, so the Australian people can set the agenda instead of just politicians, lobbyists and the media. [76] According to the Dayton Daily News, Ryan's campaign focused on blue-collar workers and issues. [16] His name still appeared on the ballot. Click [show] on the right to expand the table. The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Arizona were similarly close. General elections are often the focal point of election-year media coverage as they determine control of elected offices up and down the ballot. Georgia and Arizona had seats up for election in 2022 that were up for special election in 2020. [44][45], Eric Schmitt (R) defeated Trudy Busch Valentine (D), Paul Venable (Constitution Party), and Jonathan Dine (L) in the general election for one of Missouri's U.S. Senate seats on November 8, 2022. Weve stood against bad legislation, and weve made other legislation better. The most competitive races, with predicted margins of under 5 points, are expected to be in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. [90][91] Barnes said he would "fight to create opportunity in every corner of Wisconsin, bring manufacturing back, create jobs by tackling climate change, and stand up for Wisconsins family farmers. [3] The other special election was held to fill the final weeks of the six-year term that Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) was elected to in 2016 before becoming vice president. [98], [Trump's] preferred candidates underperformed last week, helping Democrats hold the Senate and helping keep the race for House control close. DIRECTORY: Home | US Senate . Only four Democratic seats are considered competitive: Arizona, Georgia, New Hampshire and Nevada. Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. The court also extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022, to April 15, 2022. [31] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), Kelly cumulatively raised $81.8 million and spent $75.9 million. The 2022 midterms could usher in a wave of full-spectrum MAGA supporters who would turn the GOP conference an even deeper shade of red and make the Senate a lot more like the fractious House. Sen. Maggie Hassan, the Democrat who won reelection in New Hampshire, meanwhile, won a similar share of independents: 54 percent of the group that made up a plurality of voters. In the 2020 Senate election cycle, Democrats flipped four seats and Republicans flipped one: This section includes commentary on the 2022 U.S. Senate elections both before and after November 8. Ultimately, we see these Senate races track closely with the presidential results in the state. In 2018, incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) defeated Leah Vukmir (R), 55% to 45%. The largest margin came in Pennsylvania, which (so far) has been the only Senate seat to change hands. In short, be wary of taking these models as fact. One Nation One Nation struggled despite fielding candidates in 149 of 151 House of Representatives seats. Hover over a state for more information. One Nation was launched by Pauline Hanson on 11th April 1997 in Queensland. Senator Watt's suggestion Mr Christensen will get"more money" refers to the allowance MPs get when leaving parliament, noting the higher rate given to politicians defeated at an election as opposed to simply retiring. By contrast, the GOP will likely have more opportunities for pickups, as they can expect to challenge Democratic-held Senate seats in battleground states, such as Arizona, Georgia and Nevada, each of which Biden won by fewer than 3 points.[98]. Prior to serving in the U.S. House, Budd worked as an investment analyst and owner of a gun range and store. The Cook Political Reports Jessica Taylor said demographic shifts were one reason for the state's competitiveness. Six seats held by Republican senators in states with Democratic governors were up. Thirty-two of the 34 seats up for regular election in 2022 were last up for election in 2016. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 48 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. These are the most engaging discussions about this election. "[84] To read more about Oz's key messages, click here. Fettermans campaign tweets out crowd photos, claiming Oz cant fill big rooms. Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. One Nation has dumped its candidate for Brisbane, days after the Australian Electoral Commission confirmed it was investigating a "freedom candidates" website linked to her. [] Plenty of independent voters felt off put by Trump-aligned Republican candidates. candidates by about five percentage points. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.[74]. The Maryland Court of Appeals postponed the primary election from June 28, 2022, to July 19, 2022. In Georgia, a general election advances to a runoff between the two top finishers if no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote. [42], Walker was a Hall of Fame professional football player who attended the University of Georgia, represented the U.S. in the 1992 Olympics, and owned two food-supply businesses. In her responses to Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, Chesbro said, We cannot turn off the spigot on fossil fuels. That could make these retirements less of a blow to Republicans than they first appear. Former President Donald Trump (R) appointed Walker to the Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition in 2018. The U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Alabama postponed the filing deadline for primary congressional candidates from January 28, 2022, to February 11, 2022. Senator. Retrieved 22 April 2022. Hes abandoned Labor, and voters in the Hunter should abandon Labor too. 15 April 2022. After almost losing Hunter in 2019, Joel Fitzgibbon tried to convince his Labor colleagues to look after the coal industry, but failed to shift their obsession with climate change. The Labor Party was defending two seats. One Nation has leveraged its share of the balance of power to make things better in Australia, she said. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The following table lists incumbents who didn't seek re-election in 2022. Incumbent Senator Pat Toomey (R) did not seek re-election. [21], Tshibaka, a former commissioner at the Alaska Department of Administration, accused Murkowski of not using her seniority to block more of President Joe Biden's (D) agenda. columns: 3; We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Bolduc spent $1.9 million. Ohio is simply not the quintessential swing state it once was; dating back to the 2014 election cycle, Democrats have won just one out of 14 statewide contests in Ohio and that was a popular incumbent (Sen. Sherrod Brown) running in a blue-wave election year (2018).[98]. Incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R) defeated Kelly Tshibaka (R), and Patricia Chesbro (D) in the general election for U.S. Senate in Alaska on November 8, 2022. In Pennsylvania's 2018 senate race, incumbent Bob Casey Jr. (D) defeated Lou Barletta (R) 56% to 43%. Items are listed in reverse chronological order by date of change, with the most recent change appearing first. One Nation is Australians best bet, because only One Nation puts Australia and Australians first.. Markwayne Mullin (R) won the special election held to fill the final four years of Sen. Jim Inhofe's (R-Okla.) six-year term that began in 2021. "One Nation's previous highest [Queensland] vote was 14.8 per cent in 1998.". Apply today! The California State Senate was one of 88 state legislative chambers holding elections in 2022. In Arizona, for example, Sen. Mark Kellys win over Blake Masters in the states US Senate contest was boosted by the support of 55 percent of independents who made up the largest share of the electorate (about 40 percent). [58][59], Laxalt focused on economic issues and said Cortez Masto's support for President Biden's economic initiatives contributed to the rise in inflation. Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed. In 2016, incumbent Marco Rubio won re-election by a margin of 7.7 percentage points. Kelly said he was "focused on representing Arizonans all Arizonans and Ill keep working with Republicans and Democrats to support hardworking families and get our economy back on track. In Arizona, Kelly ran ahead of Biden by 8 points. Riverina businesswoman and farmer Katie McCulloch, and Lake Macquarie pastor Colin Grigg, will respectively stand as first and second on the NSW senate ticket while Singleton businessman Dale McNamara will contest the seat of Hunter. On paper, Republican Senate candidates ought to have been fairly competitive in Arizona and Pennsylvania. Warnock explained his decision to work with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), saying, There is a road that runs through our humanitythat is larger than politics, bigger than partisan bickering, certainly bigger than raceand my job as a legislator, and our job as citizens, is to find our way to that road that connects us to one anotherso that every child can have access to a good, quality education, so that everybody can have affordable health careOur job is to build out that road![41] As of November 2022, Warnocks campaign had raised more than $123 million. A candidate for Pauline Hanson's One Nation is "massively annoyed" after he was referred to the Australian federal police for allegedly nominating to run in two different seats on opposite. Dennis Misigoy (L), Steven B. We have only recently marked the 25th anniversary of the founding of One Nation. Donald Trump (R) won the state in the 2020 presidential election by a 15.4% margin. Each side has won very few 21st-century Senate races, either with incumbents or for open seats, in states where the approval rating is lagging for a president of its party. Hell be a great representative focused on protecting coal jobs and giving younger people in the region a prosperous future.. Gray, Howard Knepper, and Moses Quiles also ran. .split-cols-c-list { Contact Ballotpedia at editor@ballotpedia.org for access to earlier data. [75], Ryan was elected to the U.S. House in 2002. }, .split-cols-c-list { [] We must make more stuff in America, cut taxes for working families, [and] Congress shouldn't play in the stock market. The vocal critic of COVID-19 restrictions and vaccinations had declared his intention to retire from Parliament, after holding the regional Queensland seat of Dawson for the Nationals since 2010. Missouri's other U.S. senator, Josh Hawley (R), won the 2018 election by a 5.8% margin. In the Nevada 2018 U.S. senate race, Jacky Rosen defeated incumbent Sen. Dean Heller (R) by five percentage points. After former U.S. Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) resigned for health reasons in 2019, Gov. Heading into Election Day, the U.S. Senate was evenly divided at 50-50 with Vice President Kamala Harris (D) casting tie-breaking votes, giving Democrats an effective majority. Incumbent U.S. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) defeated former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R) and three others in the general election for U.S. Senate in Nevada on November 8, 2022. Candidates aligned with Donald Trump ( R ) by 3.3 percentage points in,! The most competitive races, with the most recent change appearing first Congress36 representatives and four senatorsdid n't seek in... Was also up for election in 2020 far ) has been the only Senate seat to change.. 1914 that no Senate incumbent who ran lost re-election. [ 74 ], expected. Legislation better Candidate Connection survey, Chesbro said, we can not off... Representatives and four senatorsdid n't seek re-election. 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And voters in the event of vacancies broadband access they were in 2020 Sen. Tammy Baldwin ( D defeated.
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